Hawaii has a great brand in Japan and ranks #3 for Japanese leisure travelers, eclipsing a whole bunch of Asian destinations that are a lot closer and lot less expensive. Japan remains a great market for Hawaii tourism, but it is a mature market. The Hawaii Tourism Authority (HTA) and others in the visitor industry will point to a rebound from Japan’s disasters of a year ago and say that all is well. The fact remains that Hawaii’s visitor count from Japan has been stagnant or even down a little since 2007, at roughly 1.2 million visitors a year. Nothing to sniff at – and not a market to ignore – but it isn’t going to grow a whole lot. The Japanese population is aging, less likely to look for active vacations with every year that passes.
This, of course, is not what HTA’s Japan contractor told his audience at the spring market meeting in Honolulu last week. Tourism marketing people are professional optimists after all. Hawaii is a wonderful brand in Japan and, with good marketing, this is a cow that can be milked for years to come. But, like an aging cow, there is likely to be less milk as the years go by. It’s a good thing that Korea and China seemed lined up right behind.
The Japan presentation at the HTA meeting did hold some interesting datapoints. One that caught my eye is the growth in independent travelers. 21.6% of our Japanese visitors are doing the trip on their own, rather than as part of a tour. This reflects both a maturing travel market and the huge number of repeat visitors who are more confident about their ability to navigate Hawaii and know what they want when they are here. It also reflects an increasing tendency by Japanese visitors to visit the neighbor islands, not just the beaches and shops of Waikiki.
HTA is gearing up its operations in China and South Korea, responding to nascent demand and to improving visa availability. Korea, of course, saw a surge of travelers headed for Hawaii’s beaches after the country was granted U.S. visa waiver status. That surge is still running, prompting a 90% increase in seating capacity from Seoul to Honolulu in 2011. Korean visitors to Hawaii nearly doubled between 2009 and 2011, growing to nearly 101,000 last year. Both Hawaiian Airlines and Asiana entered the direct flight market early in 2011. Typical for a new and developing market, Korean visitors focused on Oahu with more than 92% bound for Waikiki. That said, Koreans are showing more independence than our early Japanese visitors; nearly 30% also visited Maui. Not surprisingly, roughly 82% are first-time visitors.
The advent of charter flights by China Eastern Airlines, more expeditious handling of tourist visas by the American consulate in Shanghai and cooperation from major Chinese booking partners led to a 29.4% increase in the number of Chinese visitors in 2011. That made the total slightly less than 80,000, but the trend is good and growth to Hawaii exceeded the percentage growth in China’s total outbound travel. Like Korea, the Chinese traveler is heavily skewed towards first-timers (83%). They are also Hawaii’s big spenders, taking an average of $382/day out of their purses and wallets during the few days they are here. I am encouraged that HTA is doing a nine-city road show to eastern Chinese cities that they haven’t covered before. As positive as things look, however, there are difficulties.HTA’s presenters mentioned that visa availability in China has improved, though it was curious that they heap all the praise on President Obama’s January 2012 speech at Disneyworld. My contacts say that the improvement (shorter waiting times, 90% approval rate) was well underway due to ideas from the American consulate in Shanghai that were already being copied by other U.S. consulates in China. I guess we have to give the credit to our local boy, but I can assure you it wasn’t Presidential pressure that did the trick.
Big news about Taiwan. Taiwan is eligible for the U.S. visa waiver program and is likely to win waiver status before the year is out. When that happens, HTA says, China Airlines plans to re-establish non-stop flights between Taipei and Honolulu. That’s great, not only for the tourism business, but because it opens more options for anybody moving between Hawaii and S.E. Asia.
Otherwise, HTA plans to have a stand at a travel show in the Philippines. And that’s it for Asia. Nothing in Singapore, Malaysia, the Russian Far East (where they are lining up to go to Guam), India, Brunei, the Persian Gulf region, or any of the others.


